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721  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: November 27, 2014, 05:38:05 AM
This is most likely a single entity, and it has spent 10 million dollars just in November
What do you mean?  Isn't this just SecondMarket buying?

It is assumed that SMBIT only buys BTC when some client buys their shares (10 shares = 1 BTC).  If that is true, there seems to be a client who buys 2.5 million dollars worth of shares each week.  But we do not know, really.
722  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 11:56:15 PM


Quote
Amazing "artifact" - a stone with a "microchip", whose age is nearly half a billion years old, found in the Krasnodar region
http://mirnov.ru/lenta-novostej/nauchnaja-sensacija-uchenye-dokazali-suschestvovanie-drugoi-civilizacii-na-zemle.html
So they already had bitcoin 250 million years ago?

Humpf. That is not a microchip, it is only a protoboard for plugging discrete components.  That ancient civilization probably was too primitive for bitcoin: it had no ASICs, not even GPUs.
723  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 11:46:38 PM
As my father says. "A good trade is when both the buyer and seller are unhappy".
But a great trade is when the both are happy

I suppose the logic is
"Rats, if he agreed to pay 100$, he probably would have paid 105$; I should have bargained harder."
"Rats, if he agreed to sell for 100$, he probably would have sold for 95$; I should have bargained harder."
724  Bitcoin / Bitcoin Discussion / Re: Was Autumn Radtke murdered due to something she knew about Brock Pierce, et al.? on: November 26, 2014, 11:37:21 PM

now here is the description of the hacker's technique:

Quote
Then, for much of February, customers were unable to complete withdrawals because of so-called ‘transaction malleability’ – a bug in the software that can be exploited to mask transactions to make it seem that they did not actually occur. It is this bug that many believe has drained MtGox dry and left it unable to complete legitimate withdrawals.

Quote
The second incarnation of the Silk Road has run into some trouble, with the administrator known as Defcon claiming today the site has fallen victim to a hack, and that all the associated accounts have been emptied. Judging by the blockchain records, attackers made off with roughly $2.7 million in bitcoin, the site's complete holdings. According to Defcon, the hack exploited the same "transaction malleability" bug that caused temporary shutdowns at Mt Gox and BitStamp earlier this week. He claims a vendor exploited the bug during a vulnerable moment in the site's relaunch process, initiating and hiding a flood of transactions until the accounts were emptied.

I don't know about Yantis's involvement, but the claim that the MtGOX hacker exploited the "transaction malelability bug" was dismissed by a group of MIT researchers:  

Quote
During the year or so that they have been gathering their data, Decker and Wattenhofer have observed a total of 302,000 bitcoins involved in malleability attacks. However, the vast majority of these occurred after MtGox’s February 10 press release, and appear to be copycat attacks triggered by the news that they could be successful. These, presumably, cannot have involved MtGox because it had prevented its customers from accessing their accounts by then. [ ... ] “As such, barely 386 bitcoins could have been stolen using malleability attacks from MtGox or from other businesses,” they conclude.

Perhaps, who knows, those transaction malelability attacks were issued by MtGOX managers themselves, in an attempt to cover up what really happened.

seems to me that Yantis' technique for hacking currency in video games is eerily similar to the technique used by the bitcoin hacker. Yantis and Brock are or were partners. connections with mt gox, connections with autumn radke.... maybe autumn had evidence of who the hacker was.

I do not find that likely, since the "transaction malelability" attack seems too specific to the bitcoin protocol.  In particular, it depends on the "best effort" propagation of the transaction requests, that allows the "malleated" requests to get ahead of the true ones; and on the faulty logic allegedly used by MtGOX to detect failed requests.  Computer games depend on centralized servers and more deterministic connections.  

However, it is possible that Yantis's exploit involved some synchronization bug too.

As for the death of Autumn Radtke, It is hard to dismiss the idea that it was somehow connected to the collapse of MtGOX. The coincidence of dates and business area, her close connection to key players in the digital currency world, the location near Japan, the apparent lack of motive for suicide, the absence of witnesses...

Whoever stole those half a billion dollars would surely murder anyone who threatened to expose the crime, if he had occasion and means to do so.
725  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again on: November 26, 2014, 11:11:37 PM
Good news! Matthew N. Wright will be taking over Bitcoin Magazine with the next issue released in Two Weekstm. Now that Bitcoin has gone Full-Circle-Jerk, we can all pack up and return to whatever we were once doing prior to joining the Bitcoin Gravy Train Wreck.  Wink

Ain't this special! Note the topmost advertiser: http://bitcoinmagazine.com/



Oops...  Shocked

By the way, I see that Tony Gallippi is indeed the Executive Producer of the Magazine.

By the way, their "About" page is out of date.  Jon Matonis resigned from the post of Executive Director of the Bitcoin Foundation, and said he will leave its Board of Directors at the end of the year.
726  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again on: November 26, 2014, 08:53:45 PM
Bitcoin Magazine is shutting down:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2nhafk/bitcoin_magazine_going_to_shut_down/

Quote
Hello writing team. I was notified yesterday that Tony will be stopping payment for all staff (including freelance writers) and terminating all positions after this Friday. Any unpaid articles must be submitted before Friday.

This was very unexpected, but is associated with a pending complicated matter being resolved by the investors of Bitcoin Magazine.

Coud this have something to do with BFL?  Redditors claim that the main investor of the magazine is BitPay, and conjecture that "Tony" above is Tony Gallippi, CEO of BitPay...
727  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again on: November 26, 2014, 04:00:47 PM
Analogies are dangerous, but...

Suppose that a car dealer

1. collected tens of millions of dollars in advance payments from customers, promising delivery in Two WeeksTM;
2. used that money to buy cars from the auto maker, but did not deliver them them to customers right away;
3. instead, set up a rent-a-car service with some of those cars, sold some to a taxicab company, and pocketed the revenue;
5. simulated a large pre-order in order to hide the origin of that revenue;
4. refused to refund customers even when the cars were months or years late;
6. eventually delivered some cars, all battered and damaged, worth a small fraction of the price paid;
5. insulted, abused and threatened any customers who complained.

Would a judge be worried about the future survival of that dealership?

If the BFL principals walk away from this incident with most of their freedom and money, it is not just bad for bitcoin.  After Costa Rica and Kansas City, they may well set up a car dealership here in Brazil, why not? 

After all, they already have the website for it, isn't it not so?
728  Economy / Service Announcements / Re: BitcoinWisdom.com - Live Bitcoin/LiteCoin Charts on: November 26, 2014, 03:44:40 PM
It may be possibly already suggested, but I ll add one.
On the prices list at right, perhaps put the round price, for example 400, at zero, .00000, and not at .99999

Or at both ends (i.e. at the lowest and highest fractions with the same integer part).
729  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 03:24:02 PM
Maybe. Or part of an up-to-date CS curriculum.

Actually, not long ago I was assigned to a "Computers & Ssociety" course for our CS majors (1 lecture per week, no homework or exams).  Police snooping vs privacy was one of the topics.  Wikileaks and Manning were still on the news; Snowden saga was just unraveling, or had not started yet.

The field has changed a lot since then, unfortunately for the worse.  With the spread of centralized services like Facebook and cloud computing, people are much more indifferent to unrestricted snooping by unaccountable agencies, to censorship under the excuse of copyright enforcement, and other "classical" Computers&Society issues.

Bitcoin may be partly responsible for that.  Many activists who could be campaigning for better government practices and rights-oriented laws seem to have given up the fight, trusting that all those problems will disappear once bitcoin takes over the world and governments just shrivel away.
730  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 03:09:19 PM
i doubt that would be legal, atleast in germany im pretty sure that the the police are not be able to do stuff like this by law.  (i mean from buying on SR or etc. to setting up tumbling services)

Not even with a warrant?

Since 9/11, it seems that the US intelligence and law enforcement agencies have legal authorization to do anything to anyone, anywhere.  But, even before 9/11, I believe that they could legally plant cameras, hack computers, or infiltrate criminal organizations, if they got a judge's authorization to do so.

Law enforcement was inside Silk Road 2.0 almost since the beginning.

If the German police cannot legally place a trap order on a German drug-selling site, or set up a fake tumbling site in a laptop over a desk in a building in German soil, they can give a call to an Italian or French colleague and have him do that favor for them.
731  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 02:03:24 PM
they never hacked into his computers, and whether or not they can follow them on the blockchain is irrelevant.

Perhaps I am mis-remembering about the hacking.  But, from day 0, the police can buy stuff on the site, pay in bitcoins, and follow them on the blockchain.  That tracing could reveal if there were other wallets beyond those that that they seized (~30'000 on the server and ~150'000 on his laptop). 

It's a good thing for law enforcement that no one ever invented a tumbler, or any other method to hide bitcoins eh

If the cops had any brains they would set up a dozen fake tumbling services, with unbeatable fees and spiffy interfaces; and quietly close or co-opt the legitimate ones.  But fortunately they are nowhere as smart as the typical users of such services.
732  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 01:31:16 PM
[Tim Draper] is joining a syndicate this time.  So, probably, he does not intend to buy even a whole lot of 10'000 BTC.
Source?
I thought that I posted it yesterday:
https://medium.com/@MirrorHQ/mirror-creates-syndicate-for-the-december-2014-usms-bitcoin-auction-45870def4f91
733  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 01:06:35 PM
A progress report by the MtGOX trustee on his actions since the previous meeting:
https://www.mtgox.com/img/pdf/20141126_document.pdf
(Dated 2014-11-26, translation at the end.)

Some highlights: Mark Karpelès and his other companies took over 10 million dollars in loans from MtGOX, the trustee is trying to get them to pay the loans.  The law says refund must be in yen but he is looking whether it is possible to return the bitcoins as bitcoins.  There are inconsistencies in the MtGOX records, which are being investigated.  He has control of ~202 kBTC so far.
734  Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question. on: November 26, 2014, 12:51:31 PM
Perhaps because of the principle, "ask a stupid question, get a stupid question"?
Isn't that not a principle, but a bastardized idiom?
What is the difference between a bastardized idiom and an adulterated proverb?
Is that one of them proverbial word problems that needs to be put in aquatic form to better fish out the required result?
You mean, a liquidity problem?
Are you trying to get my panties wet by constructing such prose?
Anyone else feel like this thread accurately resembles a conversation with 'Cleverbot'?
Will I catch a virus if I clicked that link?
Is it possibe to catch a virus watching a totally stupid YouTube video?
735  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 12:46:59 PM
Statement by MtGOX's bankruptcy trustee about the agreement with Payward (Kraken's Japanese susidiary):
https://www.mtgox.com/img/pdf/20141126_announcement.pdf
(Dated 2014-11-27; English translation at the end.)

The role of Kraken will be substantially more modest than what the first news claimed.  No decision yet on whether the coins are to be distributed as coins, and whether Kraken will handle the distribution if they are.
736  Economy / Speculation / Re: SecondMarket Bitcoin Investment Trust Observer on: November 26, 2014, 12:34:45 PM
I would somewhat doubt that the miners would sell their bitcoin in advance via futures contracts like this as they would have no way of knowing what the difficulty will be in the future and as a result has no way of knowing their future mining revenue in terms of bitcoin and would be very risky for them.

A mining operator who is building a multimillion mining facility should want to secure a contract that guarantees a return and shifts the risks (and any extraordinary gains) to the VC investors, as much as possible.  Say, the investor gives N million dollars every month for M months, and in return keeps all the coins that the installation mines during that time frame, independently of the difficulty and price. 

Of course, they may not find investors in those terms, and may have to share the risk and unpredictable profits.

737  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 12:18:31 PM
bulls are praying that tim draper buys them all again.

He is joining a syndicate this time.  So, probably, he does not intend to buy even a whole lot of 10'000 BTC.
738  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 12:09:25 PM
they never hacked into his computers, and whether or not they can follow them on the blockchain is irrelevant.

Perhaps I am mis-remembering about the hacking.  But, from day 0, the police can buy stuff on the site, pay in bitcoins, and follow them on the blockchain.  That tracing could reveal if there were other wallets beyond those that that they seized (~30'000 on the server and ~150'000 on his laptop). 
739  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 07:36:58 AM
Isn't there another [Ross Ulbrich ] wallet with 100k+ that they haven't gotten hold of yet??

I doubt it.  The FBI etc had hacked into his computers before the raid, and can follow trails on the blockchain.
740  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: November 26, 2014, 07:31:55 AM
"Kraken selected to aid MtGOX Investigation and Liquidation"
http://blog.kraken.com/post/103599171158/mt-gox-bankruptcy

Smells like a big pile of steaming bullshit to me

Could be. There was an earlier announcement which said that Kraken would take over MtGOX and pay customers in bitcoin.  This one is more limited and cautious, but it is still not clear what is certain and what is merely a wish of Kraken and/or the clients, that the trustee may concede or not.  In particular, the statement that clients will be required to open an account at Kraken in order to receive the refunds seems to be just a wish...

Does that mean, pay customers even the stolen amount? or just new amounts?

The announcement surely refers to distributing the 220'000 BTC that were left in MtGOX's forgotten wallet.  There is no money or BTC to make good on the other 600'000 BTC that disappeared.
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