1681
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Economy / Service Discussion / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering]
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on: September 01, 2014, 09:15:31 PM
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One important question that I have yet to see answered is how the claims are to be computed.
Many clients seem to assume that the amount they can claim is simply the BTC and currency balances in their MtGOX account, by the time the site was shut down (or at some earlier date).
However, some people who claim to be familiar with bankruptcy cases have claimed that the standard procedure in such cases is to ignore the balances (which are fictitious anyway, since they are the result of trading coins and money that did not exist), and define a client's claim instead as being only the amounts he deposited minus the amounts he withdrew, summed over all time, converting BTC to JPY by the market price at the moment of deposit or withdrawal.
Obviously the two methods will give very different results. A client who has a huge claim under one interpretation may be excluded under the other, and vice-versa.
Was any information offered recently about which method will be followed by Mr. Kobayashi?
I can see the merit of this means of accounting were it a proven fact that Mt. Gox was running a fractional reserve. However, if there never were more than the 200,000 or so coins currently admitted to have been found in the old-format wallet, then all trades were actually based on "real" coins and never fake ones. There are philosophical argumens for and against both methods of counting claims, and of course each client will find one of them fair. The question is which one will Mr. Kobayashi use. Some people claim what he has no choice given the laws and precedents, some claim that he may choose either one. Since there have been no comments about this issue (and surely there will be, whatever the choice), It seems that either no one thought of asking that question at the meeting, or it was asked and he refused to answer. Also, I'm curious how the bankruptcy court would deal with bitcoinbuilder's claims? Gox/btc were auctioned off and transferred to him in exchange for withdrawing real btc through his web site. Would these Gox/btc that he holds be considered "real"? Since no new coins were ever deposited to Mt. Gox by bitcoinbuilder, then it would appear under this procedure that virtually all his claims are void and so are those of his clients.
If bitcoinbuilder's CEO believes that he is the current legal owner of some GOXCoins, because he bought the rights to them off-exchange from MtGOX clients, I suppose that he should submit a claim with proof of those purchases, and it will be evaluated like the other claims. Under one interpretation, I suppose that he would claim to be the rightful owner of a certain number of BTC in the balances of those clients' MtGOX's accounts. Under the other interpretation, he would claim to be entitled to (some fraction of) whatever those clients deposited, minus whatever they withdrew, over their history at MtGOX.
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1682
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Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question.
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on: September 01, 2014, 07:54:21 PM
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What did I just read?
Why you didn't quote the above question? Do you think I can't read the thread's title? Do you think it is that simple? By that, do you mean a simple question that may have a complicated answer, or a question of arbitrary complexity that has a simple answer? Abiding by this thread's title -Answer the question above with a question. -, (note to self: fresh up on comma after dash proper usage) how the fuck did I miss this question? Did you aim at it while drunk? Wasn't this question just answered? It depends, which branch of the question chain is the good one now?
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1683
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Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question.
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on: September 01, 2014, 07:49:47 PM
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What did I just read?
Why you didn't quote the above question? Do you think I can't read the thread's title? Do you think it is that simple? By that, do you mean a simple question that may have a complicated answer, or a question of arbitrary complexity that has a simple answer? Abiding by this thread's title -Answer the question above with a question. -, (note to self: fresh up on comma after dash proper usage) how the fuck did I miss this question? Did you aim at it while drunk?
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1684
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2014, 07:45:12 PM
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What made me decide to get involved again wasn't the possibility of ROI of the invested machines, but several other reasons. What I believe is the best for all miners out there, is to mine and hold because at some point in the near future they will be very sad they didn't.
But (as many others have pointed out), if one believes that the price will rise enough at some future time, why not just buy bitcoins on the market, rather than mining them for a cost that is higher than their market price?
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1685
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2014, 07:27:35 PM
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No hardware is profitable now in mining, unless you can get it for FREE. Not even Gen 3 hardware can ROI 35-40% back of hardware cost when they come out. Or you have no cost for electricity and can get hardware at big discount because the capital investment for the equipment will never mine it back.
Is Crypto done?? No, not for that reason. If true, it means only that there is excess supply of hashing power at this point. The system has yet to find the free market equilibrium. It can hardly do that while the price does not stabilize. Meanwhile, miners may run into substantial losses or gains.
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1686
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2014, 07:20:03 PM
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You actually can make ROI [ with mining ] if you have solar panels or some other free source of eletricity so you can run your miners 24/7 for free. And with selling mining contract you could make even more if you would count the cost of electricity and make the customer pay for it.
But solar power is not free, one has to pay for the panels & electronics. AFAIK the cost of solar electricity, once the installation costs are included, is still higher than that of grid power. And you will also need hefty batteries to run multi-kW miners 24/7.
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1687
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Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question.
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on: September 01, 2014, 07:02:56 PM
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What did I just read?
Why you didn't quote the above question? Do you think I can't read the thread's title? Do you think it is that simple? By that, do you mean a simple question that may have a complicated answer, or a question of arbitrary complexity that has a simple answer? Are you drunk or what?? I know what it mean to be 'drunk', but what does it mean to be 'what'? Drunk can be fun sometimes but I hate hangovers.Dont you hate hangovers? I had a hangover once, and since then I wondered: why do some people try to repeat the experience?
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1688
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Economy / Service Discussion / Re: MtGox withdrawal delays [Gathering]
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on: September 01, 2014, 06:38:41 PM
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One important question that I have yet to see answered is how the claims are to be computed.
Many clients seem to assume that the amount they can claim is simply the BTC and currency balances in their MtGOX account, by the time the site was shut down (or at some earlier date).
However, some people who claim to be familiar with bankruptcy cases have claimed that the standard procedure in such cases is to ignore the balances (which are fictitious anyway, since they are the result of trading coins and money that did not exist), and define a client's claim instead as being only the amounts he deposited minus the amounts he withdrew, summed over all time, converting BTC to JPY by the market price at the moment of deposit or withdrawal.
Obviously the two methods will give very different results. A client who has a huge claim under one interpretation may be excluded under the other, and vice-versa.
Was any information offered recently about which method will be followed by Mr. Kobayashi?
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1689
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Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question.
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on: September 01, 2014, 06:10:12 PM
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What did I just read?
Why you didn't quote the above question? Do you think I can't read the thread's title? Do you think it is that simple? By that, do you mean a simple question that may have a complicated answer, or a question of arbitrary complexity that has a simple answer? Are you drunk or what?? I know what it mean to be 'drunk', but what does it mean to be 'what'?
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1690
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2014, 06:03:43 PM
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Weak minds are incapable of vision, conviction. Weak minds connect to weak hands. Thus does wealth gravitate to those who are able to form sound conclusions and retain them in the face of an onslaught of deceit. With strong hands we scale the mountains of adversity.
Good words. But legend tells that a King once consulted a famous Oracle about waging war to a rival, and the Oracle had a vision of him destroying a great kingdom. So the King went all confident to war, and the Oracle was soon proved right -- only with the wrong kingdom, of course.
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1691
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2014, 05:25:46 PM
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So just jumped back into mining, here is a rough breakdown per TH/s: (my electricity costs ($0.08/kWh) Cost $2.18 per day; income @ $480/BTC = $8.80. (I.e. I am paid to heat my house this winter.)
Does that cost include the hardware cost? (I note that 365.25*(8.80 - 2.18) = 2418 $/year/TH/s, correct?) So no drop in hash predicted, and if the price drops to my marginal cost we may see old hardware from mining farmers go offline, which will be good for decentralization.
Why? I would think that the bigger farms are able to keep their equipment more up-to-date than small miners, and threfore have better efficiency. Is it the other way around?
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1692
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Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question.
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on: September 01, 2014, 05:08:00 PM
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What did I just read?
Why you didn't quote the above question? Do you think I can't read the thread's title? Do you think it is that simple? By that, do you mean a simple question that may have a complicated answer, or a question of arbitrary complexity that has a simple answer?
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1694
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2014, 03:11:01 PM
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OpenBazaar will be like a Silk Road that no one can shut down. I thought that silk road was already like a silk road that could NOT be shut down. you mean SILKROAD ver 2.0 i guess you guys are forgetting there are more than 20 dark markets that popped up after silk road, none of them can be shut down unless the owner is caught at a library logged into the administrator page of the site like ross was. So, if you are careful to do that only from a Starbucks, you will never get caught. Seriously, Ross was caught much before that. The library event was just a convenient point to close the investigation.
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1696
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2014, 06:48:13 AM
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GABI is shorting bitcoin with their $200 million dollars?
People are misreading the news and getting all sorts of fantasies about GABI. Read carefully. What they said is Jersey is going to sell 200 million BTC to GABI who will give them out free to all Bitstamp traders who wear a red "KEEP CALM" T-shirt and buy some weed from Newegg, starting September 1st. Well, OK, that is not what the news said either... but who cares about the truth in this community?
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1697
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: September 01, 2014, 06:36:58 AM
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Hash rate continues to go mental eom The protocol gives out ~3600 BTC daily to miners, no matter what bitcoin is doing. Each miner gets, from that amount, a slice proportional to his hashing power. Hence every miner will try to get as much hashing power it can, as long its cost is less than what it earns. Those with the most efficient equipment (or who steal equipment, or steal electricity) can reinvest more and grow faster. Hence the hashrate will keep increasing nonstop. So what?
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