1761
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 20, 2015, 07:56:15 AM
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Now go back and replay some vague scenario purporting to show that centralization is going to kill bitcoin but we are too self-deceived to understand it. After you get a number of thoughtful replies, proceed to ignore them and do it all over again.
Not quite: * I posted a scenario whereby a cartel would force a protocol change that would NOT kill bitcoin. * It took three or four posts for (some) people here to even read it; they kept arguing that a cartel would not want to "kill bitcoin". * It took another three or four posts for (fewer) people to realize that the arguments that they had against that strawman did not work for that scenario. * It took a couple more post for (even fewer of) them to realize that the scenario would in fact be profitable for the miners, and that the users would have no choice but accept the change. * Finally, one of them claimed that, if the cartel decided to do that, the, rather than accept a small compatible change to the protocol, surely all users would make a big incompatible change to the protocol, alienate all the miners, and go back to the network of 2010. And closed the discussion with "QED". But you are right, trying to argue a technical discussion here is a terrible waste of time.
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1762
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 20, 2015, 06:50:36 AM
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This is the opposite of what is happening. It is because we are worried about it that it is not a problem. Whenever centralization increases, the twitter storms and articles splash everywhere and miners react.
So bitcoin's future is protected by the power of twitter storms and coindesk articles? Mind if I am not impressed? Seriously, I can't believe that a company would voluntarily shrink because some customers (who cannot choose their suppliers) complain about them being too big. I would expect it to merely disguise its size, by using two or more diferent names. Is anyone worried bout that? What is your point? The disaster did not happen until now, so the risk does not exist?
His point, and it is a good one, is that the available evidence points to a trend away from increasing centralization. 2012: 3 companies had more than 50% 2013: 2 companies has more than 50% 2014: 1 company (GHash.io) had more than 50% 2015: 4(?) companies have more than 50% Well, sorry, I dont see a trend there.
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1763
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 20, 2015, 05:56:06 AM
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the 2 *olfi's around here seem incapable of noting trend in the mining distribution charts, ie, moving towards decreased centralization as mining becomes commoditized.
I don't think the *olfis have been around long enough. Distribution was far worse previously: January 2012 April 2013 What is your point? The disaster did not happen until now, so the risk does not exist? In 2012 and even in 2013 the miners were not as stressed as they are now. There weren't as many big farms as there are now, were there? Cartels and monopolies take years to form. The big miners and pools are still in flux, but may soon stabilize (centralized).
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1764
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 20, 2015, 05:40:29 AM
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The transaction rate limits are fixable. The real problem is the inevitable centralization of mining. It seems that no one knows how to fix that. Bitcoin with centralized mining does not make any sense.
Do you really hope to save bitcoin by playing such stupid games?
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1766
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Economy / Securities / Re: [BitFunder] Moving Forward/Resolution Process
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on: January 20, 2015, 05:11:46 AM
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the Ukyo's expressions about lost btc's were nearly same as Karpeles' ones. if the theory of Karpeles' involvement into SR is correct and btcs are confiscated by US gov then we still have the chance to get them back.
Funny you mention that, because Jon and Mark are/were good friends, and have spent much time in each others company. Go figure. And Jon at some point worked together with Danny "Neo&Bee" Brewster
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1768
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 20, 2015, 12:57:56 AM
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Yes, I know that you do not see anything wrong with that picture. The top 6 companies have 60% of the hashrate. What could possibly go wrong? As long as there is sand around...
Yes, but you would be saying the same thing if it were 10 with 60% or 20 with 60%. These are pools, miners can re-direct their rigs anytime. There is no magic number. The fewer companies you have in the right half that chart, the higher is the risk that they will collude to act as one entity, each giving up their immediate gain (reward for getting the next block appended to orthodox chain) for a greater long-term gain (such as a larger reward per block). Why would their affiliated miners defect? If the change will mean more money even for miners who are not in the cartel, why would they resist the change? Not long ago there was just one pool, GHash.io, with more than 50% power. Bitcoiners were scared, but considered the probem solved when it shrank to less than 50%. No one asked where those miners who left the pool went. No one asks who are the owners of all those pools. How many of those big miners are in the Bitcoin Foundation, paying Gavin's salary? They are not going to conspire to destroy BTC, what would be the point. In the real world, cartels and monopolies do not form to destroy their markets, but to extract more money from their customers than they could if the markets were free. And there are plenty of things that a majority coalition of miners could do in that direction.
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1769
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 19, 2015, 11:57:50 PM
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oooooooh. i am SO scared: Yes, I know that you do not see anything wrong with that picture. The top 6 companies have 60% of the hashrate. What could possibly go wrong? As long as there is sand around...
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1770
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 19, 2015, 10:53:07 PM
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The real problem is the inevitable centralization of mining. Year after year, the number of active mining pools go up. Year after year, concern trolls talk about the "inevitable centralization" of mining. And year after year the bitcoin faithful bury their head in the sand, "if we don't worry about it, it is not a problem".
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1771
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 19, 2015, 10:34:19 PM
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Bitcoin can't be money with a capped transaction rate. Gold only maintains purchasing power due to being subsidized by central banks - there's no such thing as intrinsic value for a currency. If those transaction rate limits are hit and the situation isn't fixed, then Bitcoin will disappear.
The transaction rate limits are fixable. The real problem is the inevitable centralization of mining. It seems that no one knows how to fix that. Bitcoin with centralized mining does not make any sense.
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1772
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP.
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on: January 19, 2015, 06:57:33 PM
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Wait, bitcoin is now being supported by money stolen from hard-working enslaved singaporeans by parasitic corrupt government thugs, under threat of violent harm and loss of liberty?
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1773
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Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again
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on: January 19, 2015, 06:18:45 PM
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I haven't read the rest, but it was really nice of Mr. GHOSEIRI to inform the court that BFL did absolutely nothing wrong, that they are in fact the victims of the customers and the FTC, who have caused great harm to them.
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1774
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Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question.
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on: January 19, 2015, 06:08:03 PM
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do you know that idea is more important than theory, dream is more important than reality and faith is more important than life ?
Do you think that comes close to the worst bullshit that has ever misused electrons on the internet? Would you say that https://twitter.com/MLKsIHaveADream is a good use for electrons on the internet? What now ? Why no one ask any question anymore, do you afraid of making the worst bullshit that has ever misused electrons on the internet? What price for Bitcoin at the end of 2015? "Why do you want to hear the guesses?" I suppose it is no use complaining about the drastic rewind of the question chain, is it?
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1775
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: January 19, 2015, 10:47:41 AM
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The Story of the Kamikaze Bull
He buys 2k Bitcoins thinking that he would create a panic buying. No movement.
So he buys an additional chunk of 2k thinking "I got this...", but then the coin is getting dumped to abyss.
He goes "But wtf, i sacrificed so much" then he proceeds to spend whatever he's got left in the bank and purchase another 1.8-2k coins.
If the market doesn't react positive to his obvious pathetic pump, then the retard will lose a lot of money.
I suppose you are referring to the pump from 195 to 210 on Bitfinex, yesterday, correct? Beware that any move is promptly carried to the other exchanges by arbitragers, in a fraction of 1 minute. So, t is often hard to tell where a move really started. In particular, those buys at Bitfinex could have been arbitrage. Is there evidence that they were indeed the source?
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1780
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Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion
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on: January 18, 2015, 04:58:51 PM
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Aren't you lucky that there is someone in this thread whom you can vent your frustration on when you see your investment do in 1 year what the dollar did in 100 years?
Why on earth would you think that I bought exactly one year ago? Are you really that great of a fool? Read again, I did not write that at all. But, given your irate answer, I now guess that you bought around 13.5 months ago.
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