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1221  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 11, 2014, 09:48:53 PM
So now even Jorge gets to be bullish? Now I am confused..

I have no idea of what the price might do.  Sure, it could go to 5000$.  Or back to 5$.  There is no solid argument for either one.  (No, what happened from 2009 to 2013 is not "solid argument".  Neither is the "scarce resource" , "first player's advantage", etc.)

Quote
Jorge, have you watched the hearing of Andreas at the Senate of Canada? Any opinions?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xUNGFZDO8mM

Noy yet, sorry.  But I am curious, did he succeed in convincing the Senators that bitcoin will render the Canadian government powerless, and the Canadian dollar worthless?  Grin
1222  Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question. on: October 11, 2014, 09:36:33 PM
Does this thread has any rails or is it derailed by nature?
Speaking of nature, have you ever been caught have sex with a goose?
I suppose that we should not ask the questioner to clarify the intended meaning of "goose", and rather derail the topic again to, say, mooses, or nooses, or perhaps booze,  right?
You made that up, didn't you?

How the heck...?
1223  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: AMT users thread. on: October 11, 2014, 09:34:28 PM
Once the miner got the new code it from time to time changed the wallet addresses mined to...

I see.  So the risk is real, it seems.

As I wrote before, in another thread some clients of Chinese manufacturer "lketc" complained about lack of ssh access, and someone claimed that the manufacturer was stealing hashpower.  IIRC, they even detected encrypted internet traffic between the mining rig and the manufacturer.  But I did not see any followup on those claims.
1224  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 11, 2014, 09:00:36 PM
How high will it go?  There is plenty of posts on the speculation threads to get an idea of what many people believe.  However, the consensus seems to be on the next rally we will hit $5000 or so.  The question is how long do we have to wait for the next rally!

That is the consensus only among those who think that the next rally will hit 5000$ or so.  There are other opinions.  Even doubts that the price will ever get to 1000$ again.
1225  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: AMT users thread. on: October 11, 2014, 08:18:54 PM
The way it works is the miner is a worker in the pool handling some of the processing duty to mine a block in the pool. The pool in effect would be like a giant worker directly pointed at the bitcoin network decrypting blocks. Each worker within that pool is identified and gets a share of the solved block. I think that is more or less the simplest explanation I can come up with.

That is the intended overall effect, OK; but I was asking about a technical implementation detail, to see whether a manufacturer can steal hashpower from a pool member.

AFAIK, the mining software periodically gathers a batch of unprocessed transactions into a candidate block, that includes a coinbase transaction directing the eventual reward to the pool's input address.  Then the mining software sets one or more machines to work on that candidate block.  The work consists in making a series of attempts. In each attempt, the nonce field in the block header is replaced by a different value, and the SHA-squared hash of the header is recomputed.  If the hash value is below the network difficulty threshold, the attempt was successful and the block is broadcast to the bitcoin network, which credits the reward to the pool.  Otherwise, if the hash is below the pool's difficulty threshold, the block and the hash value are sent to the pool, as proof of effort.  Otherwise the attempt has no effect.  Correct so far?

Now consider whether this attack by malicious mining software could be viable: in one attempt out of every six (or in one candidate block out of every six) the software replaces the coinbase output address by the thief's address.  As before, if an  attempt yields a hash below the network threshold, the block is broadcast to the bitcoin network.  Otherwise, if the hash is below the pool's threshold and the coinbase address is pointing at the pool, then block+hash are sent to the pool as proof of effort.  Otherwise, the attempt has no effect.

If this attack could be set up, then the data seen by the pool would be consistent with the miner having only 5/6 of the hash power that he really has.  Of every 6 successfully mined blocks, 5 would be credited to the pool, and 1 to the thief; but the pool will not notice the latter.  If the miner is monitoring his performance exclusively through the pool's site, he will not notice the stolen blocks either -- only a loss of 1/6 of the hashpower.

Does this make sense?

1226  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: AMT users thread. on: October 11, 2014, 07:19:02 PM
A more worrisome possibility is that they are somehow using 15-20% of the machine's capacity to mine for their own profit.  Is that technically possible?  Can the miner access the internet on its own?

No they are not. I checked for that in the firmware. The configs are easy to see without an SSH connection.

Thanks!

I do not know how mining pools work.  Do you send each mined block to the pool, and they broadcast it? Or do you broadcast it yourself, and the block just directs the reward to the pool's address?  (I presume the latter, to avoid unnecessary delay, correct?) 
1227  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 11, 2014, 07:04:29 PM
And as we push to even faster ASICs there seems to be a trend of centralisation being set up in the bitcoin mining, where one person/group can own a large chunk of hashing power, and this is only getting worse over time.

With this added centralisation comes the added risk of malicious actors and a distrust in the very verification process that is so sound and secure.

Are we looking for a solution to this or is the consensus that it is either inevitable or not a threat?

AFAIK, the consensus is that it is an inevitable consequence of free and unregulated market, and people are hoping that the worst will not happen.
1228  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: AMT users thread. on: October 11, 2014, 06:49:09 PM
The console claims an average hash rate of 1.24T but the pool stats show 1.04T over a 12 hour average. A difference of about 16%.

That matches other reports in this thread.

The less damning explanation is that they doctored the software to show 15-20% more than reality.

A more worrisome possibility is that they are somehow using 15-20% of the machine's capacity to mine for their own profit.  Is that technically possible?  Can the miner access the internet on its own?
1229  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again on: October 11, 2014, 05:46:13 PM
This isn't a conversation, it's a warning for others not to do "business" with them...

Yes, that is quite worthwhile.
1230  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again on: October 11, 2014, 05:21:41 PM
Few things in the universe are less productive than a conversation with a scammer.

If you find that someone has tried to deceive you, just stop talking to him and do not pay attention to anything he says.  If he has scammed you out of money, and you have evidence of that, complain to the appropriate law enforcement and hope that they do something about it.  By arguing with the scammer you will not get anything but more lies and frustration.
1231  Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question. on: October 11, 2014, 08:48:11 AM
Does this thread has any rails or is it derailed by nature?
Speaking of nature, have you ever been caught have sex with a goose?
I suppose that we should not ask the questioner to clarify the intended meaning of "goose", and rather derail the topic again to, say, mooses, or nooses, or perhaps booze,  right?
1232  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again on: October 11, 2014, 05:12:24 AM
This testimony is known to the regulars here, I suppose (note the date):
https://www.scribd.com/doc/218445798/Affidavit-of-Jody-Drake-Sept-20-2013
1233  Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question. on: October 11, 2014, 04:12:10 AM
Isn't that question a lame cop-out?
1234  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 11, 2014, 03:20:50 AM
Shorters be like
http://i.imgur.com/rNunlTy.jpg?1[/img]
 Grin Cheesy
It sorta flops as a joke, since the guy grinding in the gif is totally safe.

Are you sure? I bet he is not wearing safety googles, the grinder's disk doesn't have a proper edge guard, the ground wire is not actually connected to the ground, and he keeps his bitcoins in a Windows computer connected to the internet, that his kids use to play pirated games downloaded from m1cros0ft.com.
1235  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 10, 2014, 05:10:58 PM
What 12 HR means?

The "12-hour moving average" (MA) is the average of the price over the last 12 hours, recomputed every hour or less (that's the "moving" part).
1236  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 10, 2014, 04:07:31 PM
well... wife left me today.
Sorry about that...I hope the damage gets fixed soon.

"Never gamble what you cannot afford to lose".  That includes your family and friends...

1237  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 10, 2014, 03:20:17 PM
Welcome to my ignore list. Idiot.

Did you know: the English suffix "-ant" (like the far more common suffix "-er") is attached to a verb to signify a person who does the corresponding action.  Thus, for example, "to claim" --> "claimant", "to defend" --> "defendant",  "to protest" --> "protestant", etc..  So, beware: every time you click on the "ignore" button, you become more ignorant.
1238  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: AMT users thread. on: October 09, 2014, 10:14:39 PM
Not to imply anything, but: there were claims (not confirmed, apparently) of another Chinese manufacturer of mining equipment that shipped machines with a closed-source software that stole 10% of the solutions and sent them encrypted to the manufacturer. 
1239  Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question. on: October 09, 2014, 09:42:25 PM
Why is your question even lamer than that? Why didn't you include unicorns in it?
Could unicorns, miraculously, cure the lameness of a question?
Are miracles really needed to replace rigorous, scientific studies of 'lameness'?
Could it be that lameness, like beauty in the eye, is in the leg of the beholder?
Does Phocomelia come to mind?

Oh, and why did you make me google such a horrendous sickness, well after all I guess I should be superhappy I'm not suffering from Phocomelia then?
You do realize that there's more horrendous sicknesses about, don't you?

Which is more bizarre, the girl's affection for the insect, or the insect's for the girl?
1240  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: October 09, 2014, 09:32:14 PM
I think that read of a Canadian class action suit that was recently withdrawn after negotiations with Sunlot, like the US one was.  Or have I mixed the MtGOX class action with some other case?
http://www.charneylawyers.com/mtgoxclassaction.htm

Thanks.  So the class action has indeed been derailed into a plea to stop the liquidation and give all assets to Sunlot (which has already granted "pardon" to GGB and JMC, even before any investigation).  Tongue
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