Gavin Andresen - 2011-02-16 22:08:02

I guess the block rate has been discussed before frequently and there are many good arguments for the different sides. What this really makes me wonder: Is there even a chance of this ever changing? How would it change? Someone with access to the official repository committing it and releasing it? and would that result in an immediate fork from people who think it's a stupid idea? I wonder if Bitcoin needs some sort of democratic organ to make a decision like that.

First, "potentially forking" changes like that would be structured as:

if (block number < SOME_BLOCK_NUMBER_IN_THE_FUTURE)
  ...old rules
else
  ...new rules

Assuming a super-majority of people agree with the change and upgrade before we get to SOME_BLOCK_NUMBER_IN_THE_FUTURE, the switch will happen smoothly.

Is there a chance of changing?  Sure, but I think anybody who wants to make such a fundamental change would need to do a LOT of testing-- maybe spin up or recruit a few hundred machines all over the world on a test network, have them mine and simulate transactions to each other (ideally with similar volume to the real network) while going through the transition and making sure there weren't any unintended consequences.  And convince a super-majority of people that the benefit of their potentially forking change outweighs the risk of disrupting the network if there's some consequence they didn't think of or that their test network didn't simulate properly.

Practically, would dropping the block time from 10 minutes to 1 minute be worth the risk?  I doubt it.  1-10 minutes (1 would be the average, get unlucky and it could take 10) is still too long to wait for small-value in-person transactions.

RE: democratic organ:  bitcoin is a kind of a democracy.  Whatever code the majority of miners/nodes is running makes the rules.