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1701  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 12:26:10 PM
For alot of people this will be the first, one as they will be operating with license to operate in 25 states
The headline on the WSJ article reads - "First U.S. Bitcoin Exchange Set to Open"
I don't disagree that this may (I don't have exact info) be the exchange to be able to serve the largest part of the US population. There have been plenty of them to operate in a handful of states (Kraken for example).
So the title is at least misleading if not outright false.
The point was that it's the first regulated exchange.

Well, other exchanges claim to be "regulated" too.  At least one of them claims to have Money Transmittal licenses in a dozen states.

Coinbase may be correct on some strict sense, perhaps.
1702  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 12:20:59 PM
Barry Silbert has confirmed via twitter (and Wall Street Journal) that Coinbase will be opening the first ever Exchange in the US
https://twitter.com/barrysilbert/status/559469770232569857

Barry Silbert does not seem to be a first-hand source; the Wall Street Journal had already leaked it all.

1703  Other / Off-topic / Re: Answer the question above with a question. on: January 26, 2015, 12:17:40 PM
Why would he give us math this late at night??
Was that a question or an explanation?

Can I get back to you on that?
Might already be morning for him, don't you know his timezone?
Isn't maths really easy when you understand?
Do you realize that you dont need to do math when you can pay someone else to do the math ?
But what if the math tells him that he would profit more by using the result himself?
1704  Economy / Speculation / Re: Gold collapsing. Bitcoin UP. on: January 26, 2015, 10:11:35 AM
Theres plenty of coins stolen by the FED that are going to get sold when the DPR trial ends. That may well cap any major price run for a while.  Huh

They are already being sold, Ross agreed to that. Besides the SR 30'000, 50'000 were sold last December, another batch is to be sold "in Q1/2015".

1705  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: [ESHOP launched] Trezor: Bitcoin hardware wallet on: January 26, 2015, 10:08:51 AM
There is already a Chinese clone that copied everything verbatim, including their USB vendor code (which is said to make the product a counterfeit merchandise).
Link Please.
(Sorry to feed the troll)
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/2t8ppe/now_you_can_buy_a_trezorlike_hardware_wallet_in/
You are welcome.
1706  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again on: January 26, 2015, 05:58:23 AM
Do you mean the sticky tape, or the mailing labels? 

(Oops, is it OK to answer a question with a question here too?  Wink)
1707  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 05:50:18 AM
it really is an interesting approach. It shifts the curve by pi/2, and normalises (by A) creating a normalised even function.

Sorry, I could not get beyond that.  However,  I found a formula (attributed to Euler) for sin(x) as an infinite product

sin(\pi z) = \pi z \prod_{n=1}^\oo (1 - \frac{z^2}{n^2})

It looks similar enough to your function shifted and scaled as before

f(\pi (z + 1/2)) = A g(z)

where z = x/\pi - 1/2,

A = \prod_{m=1}^\oo \frac{(4m-1)^2}{4m(4m-2)}

and

g(z) = \prod_{m=1}^\oo (1 - \frac{4z^2}{(4m-1)^2})

Maybe you can get some inspiration out of it...
1708  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 04:05:02 AM
Coinbase trading API documentation:
https://docs.exchange.coinbase.com/
Know when it's starting up? I doubt I'll get CB on it right away but starting to gather the data should be straightforward enough.

The posts I have seen say today (Monday).  I can't tell whether they are correct, of course.
1709  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 03:42:49 AM
Coinbase trading API documentation:
https://docs.exchange.coinbase.com/
1710  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 03:02:58 AM
Can I get your latest theory on how China caused this price rise please?

Hard to tell...

The rise from 200 to 250 over the last 10 days may have been just a recovery from the crash of 2015-01-13 (like the recovery after the 2014-10-04 crash).  The rise today seems to be due to the Coinbase news, apparently led by Bitfinex.

So far the price got back to the trend it followed for most of Nov-Dec 2014.  Let's see what it will do next.

By the way, I still don't know what caused the mini-bubble that started on 2014-05-20.  It may have been driven by the West, for all I know.  But that demand may have evaporated between August and October.
1711  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 02:47:11 AM
so if I want troll you I just post here and you will see?

Yes, but you'll have to wait your turn, the line starts over there.
1712  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 02:42:14 AM
It's quite odd you know when you're talked about. Kinda like you have a team and advanced monitoring tools.

Yeah, @theymos and his team work for me and they got me this private tool called "Watchlist".  Works fine with this "browser" tool that I got elsewhere.

By the way, I have some 100 threads in my watchlist, but usually the only one that shows up is this one.
1713  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 02:27:00 AM
Was professor bitcorn wrong again?
He said he doubt BTC long term success.
So even if BTC reaches 1M he can troll say it will turns into dust in the future, so he is right

Are you confusing me with Prof. Mark T. Williams, who predicted 10 $/BTC by mid-2014?

He overestimated the prescience of bitcoin investors.  I am trying not to make the same mistake.  Grin
1714  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 26, 2015, 12:06:47 AM
make you a deal, expand as a summation series and give me a closed form expression for the 3rd term (coefficient for x^3) and I'll reveal all ...

It can be written as

f(x) = A \prod_{m=1}^\oo (1 - \frac{4z^2}{(4m-1)^2})

where z = x/\pi - 1/2, and

A = \prod_{m=1}^\oo \frac{(4m-1)^2}{4m(4m-2)}

That is an even function of z.  Therefore, the the coefficient of (x-\pi/2)^3 in the Taylor series around \pi/2 is zero.

Is that close enough?  Grin
1715  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2015, 11:21:39 PM
How is this good news?
My thought is this makes the acquisition of BTC safer, easier, and more available.

I though that, Coinbase being already licensed as a payment processor, a Coinbase customer already could
* deposit dollars at Coinbase
* buy bitcoins at Coinbase,
* withdraw his bitcoins,
* send bitcoin to a merchant
* have Coinbase send the dollar value of his bitcoins to merchants

With a money transmitting license, a Coinbase client can also
* sell his bitcoins to Coinbase (or other Coinbase clients)
* withdraw the dollars from such sales

I.e. Coinbase becoming a fully licensed exchange makes it easier for people to sell their bitcoins (not just spend them in purchases).  They could already buy bitcoins from them, so that part did not get any easier.  

Is this correct?
1716  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2015, 09:56:30 PM
First U.S. Bitcoin Exchange Set to Open
Coinbase Has Backing From the NYSE, Banks and Venture Capitalists
http://www.wsj.com/articles/first-u-s-bitcoin-exchange-set-to-open-1422221641
1717  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2015, 08:16:32 PM
Also depends on what is this
http://coinbase.com/lunar
Source code shows:
Quote
      <!-- The big reveal. Show at launch time. -->
      <a href="/lunar/feature" style="display:none;">to the moon</a>
Which leads to this url:
https://www.coinbase.com/lunar/feature
wow

Reminds me of an exchange that recently ran away with the customers funds and left some MP3 files with silly riddles in their website.   Grin

[/troll]
1718  Bitcoin / Project Development / Re: [ESHOP launched] Trezor: Bitcoin hardware wallet on: January 25, 2015, 06:39:33 PM
They took great risk in building it and make both hardware and software open source. A competitor can create a clone very easily now, the only thing they don't have is the name and reputation.

There is already a Chinese clone that copied everything verbatim, including their USB vendor code (which is said to make the product a counterfeit merchandise).

1719  Bitcoin / Hardware / Re: BFL fucked us over again on: January 25, 2015, 02:33:10 PM
Do you feel that you will be reprimanded by BFL in some way if your opinion is still as negative as it always was? Will you lose some form of compensation if you do react as you always have?

In short, No.

I shall not be dealing with BFL in the future to buy any devices, so it's very hard to lose compensation for something I cannot be recompensed for. [ … ] But like I said, there are good staff and their are bad staff. [ … ]
My opinion is based on my experience, and although this has resulted in a positive end, there has been several years of drama to reach this point.

Would you say that you actually lost money (i.e. what you got from them is worth less than the money you gave them plus interest), and that they got richer thanks in part to your loss?
1720  Economy / Speculation / Re: Wall Observer BTC/USD - Bitcoin price movement tracking & discussion on: January 25, 2015, 07:48:32 AM
*actually, since they did mention that they had a physical office in each country, I was kinda hoping I could take a vacation, arrive and get some local currency for bitcoin without having a local bank account, then transfer back into bitcoin when it's time to go home.

I presume that they will do that too; but that you could get tat service with localbitcoins or ATMs.  I understood that the matched trades for remittance were their differential, and they need the offices in each country in order to do that.
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